When two events are mutually exclusive, they cannot happen at the same time. That means the overlap is zero:
[ P(A \cap B)=0 ]
So the probability that A or B happens is found by adding their probabilities:
[ P(A \cup B)=P(A)+P(B) ]
If you are given two separate probabilities for disjoint outcomes, compute:
[ P(A \cup B)=P(A)+P(B) ]
Do not multiply, and do not subtract an overlap, because there is none.
This rule is especially useful for “either/or” situations where the two outcomes cannot occur together.
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