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Line of Best Fit Prediction

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Line of Best Fit Prediction

A line of best fit is used to estimate a value from a scatter plot or a linear model. In a prediction problem, you usually substitute a given value of one variable into the line equation and solve for the other variable.

Method

  1. Identify the line equation. Look for a form such as (y = mx + b). Make sure you know which variable is being predicted.
  2. Substitute the known value. Replace the input variable with the number given in the problem.
  3. Compute carefully. Follow the order of operations and simplify your arithmetic.
  4. Interpret the result. Write the predicted value with the correct variable and units if they are given.

Check your answer

  • If the slope is positive, larger inputs should give larger predicted outputs.
  • If the slope is negative, larger inputs should give smaller predicted outputs.
  • Your result should be reasonable for the data context and not wildly outside the pattern.

Tip

If the problem gives a graph instead of an equation, use two clear points on the fitted line to estimate the slope and intercept before predicting.

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